Rafiki

AI Demand Forecasting & Production Planning

We built an AI planning system to support demand forecasting and production decisions in a high-variability food manufacturing context, moving from manual forecasting to a more structured, explainable and adaptive planning workflow.

The problem

The challenges before us.

Manual planning

The production plan was rebuilt by hand each week, with the same mistakes, same gaps, and same emergency rework every time forecasts were off.

Unpredictable demand

When demand spiked above forecast, the line was already committed elsewhere. Some stockouts became lost orders, with clients who simply went elsewhere.

Systematic overproduction

When the plan erred in the other direction, product was made that nobody needed: waste that was nearly impossible to recover and hit margin directly.

The solution

What we built.

Multi-horizon ML forecasting

Optimized production plan

Real-time ERP integration

Live KPI dashboard and alerts

Ensemble model trained on your actual sales history and seasonality, with 30, 60 and 90-day forecasts per SKU, so production decisions are driven by data.

Constraint solver that weighs capacity, setup costs and current stock levels, outputting the optimal production schedule in seconds, with deviation comparison against the previous plan.

Bidirectional sync via API: approved orders enter the ERP automatically, with no double entry or delays.

Waste and plan adherence updated every 15 minutes, visible from anywhere. Proactive alerts fire before a deviation becomes a stockout, not after.

+20%Forecast accuracy
–90%Planning time

Next step

Want a similar result?

Start with a Pilot on your real process. We demonstrate feasibility before you scale.

Let's talk.

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AI Demand Forecasting & Production Planning — Rafiki - AI built around real business needs